1pm update – oil and energy

US equities remain broadly lower (the Trans continues to hold up). Meanwhile, WTIC is currently +0.3% in the low $69s. The energy sector ETF of XLE is currently net lower for the week by -1.4% at $88.47.

USO daily

XLE weekly

Summary

WTIC/USO: oil has printed $69.76, partly on the Iranians saying they will attack Israel before the election. So… we should expect something Friday night/the weekend. Upside resistance $72s, then 77/78s. Net higher for October by around +1.0%.

XLE: energy stocks are holding up well to the main market, clearly due to oil. Net higher for October by +0.75%.

notable stock: OXY

Occidental is struggling… early gains, but turning red.
Yesterday’s black candle played out.
The current candle is bearish engulfing.

notable stock: XOM

Exxon has earnings early Friday, which should be fine.

Equities: sp’60min

Cyclically… we’re on the VERY low side, as the setup offers a bounce.
I’d be open to a marginal lower low on Friday, or even next Monday… if Iran does attack Israel this weekend. More broadly… Mr Market will be prone to spiking upward on Wednesday.